These topics are tracked for their potential impact on security, trade, energy and regional stability. Iran / Strait of Hormuz covers conflict and threats to shipping and energy supplies; Ukraine / Russia covers the war, European security and U.S. alliance commitments; the Korean Peninsula covers nuclear and missile threats and diplomacy; Nepal / Tibet covers a cross-border disaster affecting humanitarian relief, transport and hydropower. All four assessments separate dated public measurements, recovery or diplomatic progress, participant responsibilities and broader risk. Nepal / Tibet is tracked for humanitarian and infrastructure resilience rather than military conflict.

Each assessment identifies the measurement, reporting period, source and missing evidence. Iran tracks export recovery; Russia / Ukraine tracks settlement implementation; the Korean Peninsula tracks missile activity and verified de-escalation; Nepal / Tibet tracks infrastructure exposure and recovery. Broader risk colors are editorial assessments, not calculated probabilities. Missing measurements are not scored as zero.